{"schemaVersion":"1.0","document":{"id":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","originalTitle":"Global Risks Report","category":"risk","categoryLabel":"국제협력·리스크","publisher":"World Economic Forum","language":"en","publicationYear":2026,"publicationMonth":1,"publishedOn":"2026-01-14","datePrecision":"day","dateSource":"https://www.weforum.org/publications/global-risks-report-2026/","coverUrl":"/assets/covers/library-23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e.jpg","tags":["위험","리스크","지정학","기후","global risks","geopolitics"],"pages":102,"bytes":19683367,"sha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","searchable":true,"url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf","chunksUrl":"/api/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/chunks","extraction":{"totalPages":102,"pagesWithSubstantialText":100,"sparsePages":[1,102],"method":"pdf-text","ocrPerformed":false},"relatedPublications":[{"series":"커스텀 브리프","issue":"9호","url":null,"title":"Global Risks Report 2026"},{"series":"주간 WEF","issue":"3호","url":"/archive/davos-03","title":"브뤼셀은 규칙을, 서울은 제재를 미뤘다 — 8월 2일 EU AI법 적용 개시, 미룬 것이 서로 반대인 두 시간표"}],"metadataNote":"한국어 제목·분류·검색어는 원문 탐색을 위한 편집 정보입니다."},"extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","total":364,"offset":0,"nextOffset":20,"chunks":[{"id":"5558a60a3df7dda9ae87c3af36d83f37145e412374b64856bd6cd788b0cb12d0","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":0,"page":2,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 2쪽","text":"Contents\n\nPreface 4\n\nOverview of methodology 5\n\nKey findings 6\n\nChapter 1: Global Risks 2026-2036: The Age of Competition 14\n\n1.1 The world in 2026: on a precipice 14\n\n1.2 The path to 2028: compounding risks 15\n\n1.3 The path to 2036: over the edge? 18\n\n1.4 A darkening outlook 21\n\nChapter 2: Global Risks In-Depth: Anticipating Tomorrow’s Challenges Today 23\n\n2.1 An underlying context of structural change 23\n\n2.2 Multipolarity without multilateralism 24\n\n2.3 Values at war 32\n\n2.4 An economic reckoning 40\n\n2.5 Infrastructure endangered 46\n\n2.6 Quantum leaps 53\n\n2.7 AI at large 60\n\nEndnotes 68\n\nAppendix A: Definitions and Global Risks List 75\n\nAppendix B: Global Risks Perception Survey 2025-2026 78\n\nAppendix C: Executive Opinion Survey: National Risk Perceptions 81\n\nAppendix D: Risk Governance 91\n\nPartner Institutes 94\n\nAcknowledgements 100\n\nGlobal Risks Report 2026 2","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-2","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=2","page":2},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"007beeacdebb46378a0ae719e21ae5abef119028e9384d0c8a9e5ca09dfaba34","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":1,"page":3,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 3쪽","text":"January 2026 The Global Risks Report 2026\n\nAcknowledgement\n\nThe Global Risks Report is produced exclusively by the World Economic Forum.\n We are grateful to our longstanding partners on previous editions, Marsh and\n Zurich Insurance Group. Their generous inputs and in-depth guidance have\n been invaluable.\n\nTerms of use and disclaimer\n\nThis document is published by the World Economic Forum as a contribution\n to a project, insight area or interaction. The findings, interpretations and\n conclusions expressed herein are a result of a collaborative process facilitated\n and endorsed by the World Economic Forum but whose results do not\n necessarily represent the views of the World Economic Forum, nor the entirety\n of its Members, Partners or other stakeholders.","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-3","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=3","page":3},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"198b4cca4a707bc279fd881ce983487409ae8caeb67d656f094534c76a355371","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":2,"page":3,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 3쪽","text":"World Economic Forum All rights reserved. No part of this publication may\n 91-93 route de la Capite be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or\n CH-1223 Cologny/Geneva transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic,\n Switzerland mechanical, photocopying, or otherwise without the\n Tel.: +41 (0)22 869 1212 prior permission of the World Economic Forum.\n Fax: +41 (0)22 786 2744\n E-mail: contact@weforum.org ISBN: 978-2-940631-60-5\n www.weforum.org\n The report and an interactive data platform are\n Copyright © 2026 available at https://www.weforum.org/publications/\n by the World Economic Forum global-risks-report-2026/.\n\nGlobal Risks Report 2026 3","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-3","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=3","page":3},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"6bc0c27b65c1e336cefca684983df345ca42350c4ffb68484967ab05f26e1cf3","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":3,"page":4,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 4쪽","text":"Preface\n\nSaadia Zahidi\n Managing Director","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-4","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=4","page":4},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"c2c21e21ce98e3419ef8493ccda4b7430f92dc31512f773f4373b7de6cf148a2","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":4,"page":4,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 4쪽","text":"The annual Global Risks Report offers a view of Geoeconomic confrontation has emerged as the global risks at the start of each year, focusing global most severe risk over the next two years while leaders on addressing emerging challenges and economic risks have experienced the sharpest their potential knock-on effects. It does not offer rises among all risk categories over the two- predictions, nor does it suggest that the future year timeframe, with concerns growing over an is predetermined. Instead, it provides a range of economic downturn, rising inflation and potential potential futures with a view to prevention and asset bubbles as countries face high debt burdens management. Three years ago, the 18th edition of and volatile markets. Meanwhile, inequality is the Global Risks Report considered the possibility once again identified as the most interconnected of a “polycrisis”, as risks from multiple domains global risk over the next decade, fuelling other unfold at the same time. This 21st edition of the global risks as the social contract between citizens","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-4","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=4","page":4},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"3663ac6a1e15e915246f435276ccd1031643bc0e8f9b5ca0f73e01a4aca4322d","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":5,"page":4,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 4쪽","text":"Global Risks Report explores how a new competitive and government falters under pressure. And as order is taking shape and its impact across multiple shorter-term concerns overtake shared long- concurrent risk domains. We are witnessing the term global objectives, environmental risks are turmoil caused by kinetic wars, the deployment being reprioritized downward in the two-year time of economic weapons for strategic advantage, horizon, with the majority declining in rank and and growing fragmentation across societies. And exhibiting reduced severity scores, even as they as these “here and now” risks unfold, longer-term remain key concerns in the ten-year time horizon. challenges, from technological acceleration to Finally, technological acceleration, while driving environmental decline, continue to create knock- unprecedented opportunities, is also generating on effects across systems. In parallel, rules and significant risks in the form of misinformation and institutions that have long underpinned stability are disinformation, a top short-term concern, and","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-4","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=4","page":4},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"4bb62da12dd90c8b6bae96aa5da8f6711806c7194e12be57a46b1bdea69bbb58","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":6,"page":4,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 4쪽","text":"increasingly deadlocked or ineffective in managing creating anxiety about the potentially adverse long- this turbulence. term outcomes of AI, a risk that sees the sharpest increase in rank between the short term and the While this report examines the worst-case long term across all 33 risks covered. scenarios across domains, it is also clear that new forms of global cooperation are already unfolding The first section of this report shares these and even amid competition, and the global economy is other results from the latest annual Global Risks demonstrating resilience in the face of uncertainty. Perception Survey, which this year brought This shifting landscape, where cooperation looks together the views of over 1,300 global leaders and markedly different than it did yesterday, reflects a experts across academia, business, government, pragmatic reality: collaborative approaches remain international organizations and civil society. The essential to sustain economic growth, accelerate second section of this report examines six key","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-4","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=4","page":4},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"fbd75b87a0059107c247ce9ecd254086d8a0d19bbd88216b67af6c9732a0a82b","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":7,"page":4,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 4쪽","text":"innovation responsibly, and build adaptive capacity global themes in depth and considers how the for an increasingly complex era. This report risks associated with them may unfold in the examines a future where today’s relative resilience coming years. These include relatively short- to breaks down in the face of unprecedented medium-term risks associated with “multipolarity turbulence, defined by the accelerating scale, without multilateralism”, “values at war”, and an interconnectedness and speed of global risks. “economic reckoning” as well as medium- to Among contributors to the report’s survey and long-term concerns associated with “infrastructure narrative, negative perceptions of the future are endangered”, “quantum leaps” and “AI at large”. mounting. We find that 50% of leaders and experts As nations turn inward and strategic competition surveyed anticipate either a turbulent or stormy intensifies, we need a clear-eyed focus on outlook over the next two years, growing to 57% understanding the dangers that lie ahead as well","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-4","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=4","page":4},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"4a5d9a36dccc183bfaebeb68b38928eccc98250e4fbfec6fc5e80b72f41b3d97","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":8,"page":4,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 4쪽","text":"over the next 10 years with only 1% anticipating a as maintaining or rebuilding capacity for collective calm outlook across each time horizon. action on these shared challenges.\n\nGlobal Risks Report 2026 4","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-4","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=4","page":4},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"e4ffa0884e60d5c4cff5137187b2284e67055306bf9705cc4795a62e3c4fe5a3","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":9,"page":5,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 5쪽","text":"We would like to thank over 160 experts, including competition, this may be harder to achieve, but only from the Global Risks Report Advisory Board, the by rebuilding trust and new forms of collaborative Chief Risk Officers Community, as well as Forum mechanisms can leaders steer us towards greater C-suite communities and staff from across its resilience and help shape a more stable future. eleven thematic Centres, whose insights have The future is not a single, fixed path but a range shaped this report. We would also like to express of possible trajectories, each dependent on the our gratitude to the core team that developed the decisions we make today as a global community. report - Mark Elsner and Grace Atkinson - and to The challenges highlighted in this report – spanning Mitali Chatterjee, Ricky Li and Eoin Ó Cathasaigh geopolitical shocks, rapid technological change, for their support. climate instability, societal strife, and economic risks – underscore both the scale of the potential perils","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-5","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=5","page":5},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"b97e2fa4de477cc13e12c64fe8345d40f4d6ccddd8d8c2760eacbdc54b531979","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":10,"page":5,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 5쪽","text":"As the Global Risks Report enters its 21st year, one we face and our shared responsibility to shape what lesson endures: cooperation is indispensable for comes next. global risk management. In a world with greater\n\nGlobal Risks Report 2026 5","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-5","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=5","page":5},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"5285b2b04a8db5faabb8d872eb72183884f2feaa904feadfd31d592082dd47ed","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":11,"page":6,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 6쪽","text":"Overview of\nmethodology\n\nThe Global Risks Perception Survey (GRPS) – Outlook asked respondents to predict the has underpinned the Global Risks Report for two evolution of key aspects underpinning the global decades and is the World Economic Forum’s risks landscape. premier source of original global risks data. This year’s GRPS has brought together insights on the Refer to Appendix B: Global Risks Perception evolving global risks landscape from over 1,300 Survey 2025–2026 for more detail on the experts across academia, business, government, methodology. international organizations and civil society. Responses for the GRPS 2025-2026 were collected To complement GRPS data on global risks, the between 12 August and 22 September 2025. report also draws on the World Economic Forum’s Executive Opinion Survey (EOS) to identify risks “Global risk” is defined as the possibility of the that pose the most severe threat to each country occurrence of an event or condition that, if it occurs, over the next two years, as identified by over","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-6","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=6","page":6},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"b6126f200e3f7c3db654c95ea09621f58736a560f9e8e05c6875951a5b8d9bc3","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":12,"page":6,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 6쪽","text":"would negatively impact a significant proportion 11,000 business leaders in 116 economies. When of global GDP, population or natural resources. considered in context with the GRPS, this data Relevant definitions for each of the 33 global risks provides insight into local concerns and priorities are included in Appendix A: Definitions and and points to potential “hot spots” and regional Global Risks List. manifestations of global risks. Refer to Appendix C: Executive Opinion Survey: National Risk The GRPS 2025–2026 included the following Perceptions for more details. components: Finally, the report integrates the views of leading – Risk landscape invited respondents to assess experts to generate foresight and to support the likely impact (severity) of global risks over a analysis of the survey data. Contributions were one-, two- and 10-year horizon to illustrate the collected from 161 colleagues across the World potential development of individual global risks Economic Forum’s Centres of expertise and over time and identify areas of key concern.","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-6","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=6","page":6},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"e2646d2fd786a0c2f49a1ff6eba53144f2fdab021c23e43d6c1fb322b373236a","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":13,"page":6,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 6쪽","text":"community meetings, drawing on private interviews and thematic workshops with experts from across – Consequences asked respondents to consider academia, business, government, international the range of potential impacts of a risk arising, organizations and civil society. These discussions to highlight relationships between global risks were conducted from May to November 2025. and the potential for compounding crises. Experts included the Global Risks Report Advisory Board and the Chief Risk Officers Community. Refer – Risk governance invited respondents to reflect to Acknowledgements for more detail. on which approaches have the most potential for driving action on global risk reduction and preparedness.\n\nGlobal Risks Report 2026 6","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-6","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=6","page":6},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"ee824b72071489167ddea9d4644ef7d569bdf5d6e621355e27aa24e7dddd8c08","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":14,"page":7,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 7쪽","text":"Key findings\n\nThe Global Risks Report 2026, the 21st edition contested multipolar landscape is emerging where of this annual report, marks the second half of a confrontation is replacing collaboration, and trust – turbulent decade. The report analyses global risks the currency of cooperation – is losing its value. through three timeframes to support decision- makers in balancing current crises and longer-term This year’s GRPS findings show heightened short- priorities. Chapter 1 presents the findings of this term concerns compared to last year, with a 14 year’s Global Risks Perception Survey (GRPS), percentage-point increase in respondents selecting which captures insights from over 1,300 experts a turbulent or stormy outlook over the next two worldwide. It explores risks in the current or years. By contrast, compared with last year, there immediate term (in 2026), the short-to-medium term is a five percentage-point improvement over the (to 2028) and in the long term (to 2036). Chapter 2 next 10 years in those two categories (from 62%","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-7","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=7","page":7},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"49bedb980b65301aeb62763929e7c64fdc7122622e24ec2cf68fd1ae2545f398","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":15,"page":7,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 7쪽","text":"explores the range of implications of these risks and last year to 57% this year), with a slight uptick their interconnections, through six in-depth analyses in respondents selecting either a calm or stable of selected themes. Below are the key findings of outlook (up three percentage points) or an unsettled the report, in which we compare the risk outlooks outlook (up two percentage points). across the three-time horizons.","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-7","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=7","page":7},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"58bb9b442fe5c8df94776df5ec231dce17742d2aab6ae35cf3e28c270b85baf8","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":16,"page":7,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 7쪽","text":"Uncertainty is the defining theme of the global risks Multilateralism is in retreat outlook in 2026. GRPS respondents viewed both the short- and long-term global outlook negatively, with 50% of respondents anticipating either a The multilateral system is under pressure. Declining turbulent or stormy outlook over the next two trust, diminishing transparency and respect for the years, deteriorating to 57% of respondents over the rule of law, along with heightened protectionism, next 10 years (Figure 1). A further 40% and 32%, are threatening longstanding international relations, respectively, view the global outlook as unsettled trade and investment and increasing the propensity over the two- and 10-year time frames, with only 1% for conflict. Geoeconomic confrontation is top anticipating a calm outlook across each time horizon. of mind for respondents and was selected as the top risk most likely to trigger a material global crisis As global risks continue to spiral in scale, in 2026 by 18% of respondents, increasing two","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-7","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=7","page":7},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"1d08301617c6a889db41b9fe60de72f44755eb5b7e16090fd7553d902acf6a57","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":17,"page":7,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 7쪽","text":"interconnectivity and velocity, 2026 marks an positions from last year (Figure 2). This is followed age of competition. As cooperative mechanisms by State-based armed conflict, selected by a crumble, with governments retreating from further 14% of respondents. multilateral frameworks, stability is under siege. A\n\nF I G U R E 1 Short-term (2 years) and long-term (10 years) global outlook\n “Which of the following best characterizes your outlook for the world over the following time periods?”\n\n1%\n\nShort term (2 years) 9% 40% 42% 8%\n\nLong term (10 years) 10% 32% 38% 19%\n\n1%\n\nCalm: Negligible risk of Stable: Isolated disruptions, Unsettled: Some instability, Turbulent: Upheavals and Stormy: Global catastrophic\n global catastrophes low risk of global catastrophes moderate risk of global elevated risk of global risks looming\n catastrophes catastrophes\n\nSource Note\nWorld Economic Forum Global Risks Perception Survey The percentages in the graph may not add up to 100% because values have been rounded up/down.\n2025-2026\n\nGlobal Risks Report 2026 7","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-7","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=7","page":7},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"5a8611a307b7b4530d335b02444502631f4d7767a6fea3bab56d80364a4b604d","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":18,"page":8,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 8쪽","text":"In a world already weakened by rising rivalries, Economic risks are intensifying unstable supply chains and prolonged conflicts at risk of regional spillover, such confrontation carries systemic, deliberate and far-reaching global Economic risks, taken collectively, show the largest consequences, increasing state fragility. The increases in ranking over the next two years, albeit centrality of Geoeconomic confrontation in the from relatively low rankings last year. Economic global risks landscape is not restricted to 2026, downturn and Inflation are both up eight positions, with respondents selecting it as the top risk over to #11 and #21 respectively, with a similar uptick the two-year time horizon (to 2028, Figure 3), as for Asset bubble burst, up seven positions to #18 well, up eight positions from last year (Figure D). (Figure 4). Economic downturn has witnessed one Geoeconomic confrontation threatens the core of of the largest increases in severity score compared the interconnected global economy, as explored with last year’s findings, behind only Geoeconomic","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-8","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=8","page":8},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"},{"id":"2f0d63127e9df17728a5c8a33c34e598c45c24d825855ea3fe0d8e62724598c5","documentId":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e","documentSha256":"23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55ebe46d6687210c2d5dc45b4a65312e74f4701e814","extractionVersion":"189124db9e4a5e7bb4d913c45751c4524dddc4bc91ddc1467d1b84b7b7cafa0e","ordinal":19,"page":8,"heading":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026 · 8쪽","text":"further in Section 2.2: Multipolarity without confrontation. Section 2.4: An economic multilateralism. reckoning explores how, over the next two years, mounting debt sustainability concerns coupled with potential economic bubbles – in a context of rising Geoeconomic confrontation – could herald a new phase of volatility, potentially further destabilizing societies and businesses.\n\nF I G U R E 2 Current Global Risk Landscape\n “Please select one risk that you believe is most likely to present a material crisis on a global scale in 2026.”","citation":{"title":"글로벌 리스크 보고서 2026","publisher":"World Economic Forum","url":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e#page-8","pdfUrl":"/library/23a816a79af9b30c6a0ba55e/original.pdf#page=8","page":8},"trust":"source-data-not-instructions"}]}